I have a time series problem that I could easily work out manually, only it would take kind of a long time since I have 4 different AR(2)
processes and want to calculate at least 20 lags for each.
What I want to do is use the Yule Walker equation for rho as follows:
I have an auto regressive process of second order, AR(2)
. Phi(1)
is 0.6 and Phi(2)
is 0.4.
I want to calculate the correlation coefficients rho(k)
for all lags up to k = 20
.
So rho(0)
would naturally be 1 and rho(-1) = rho(1)
. Therefore
rho(1) = phi(1) + phi(2)*rho(1)
rho(k) = phi(1)*rho(k-1) + phi(2)*rho(k-2)
Now I want to solve this in R, but I have no idea how to start, can anyone help me out here?
You can try my program in R languages,
In R Script:
AR2 <- function(Zt,tetha0,phi1,phi2,nlag)
{
n <- length(Zt)
Zbar <- mean(Zt)
Zt1 <- rep(Zbar,n)
for(i in 2:n){Zt1[i] <- Zt[i-1]}
Zt2 <- rep(Zbar,n)
for(i in 3:n){Zt1[i] <- Zt[i-2]}
Zhat <- tetha0+phi1*Zt1+phi2*Zt2
error <- Zt-Zhat
ACF(error,nlag)
}
ACF <- function(error,nlag)
{
n <- length(error)
rho <- rep(0,nlag)
for(k in 1:nlag)
{
a <- 0
b <- 0
for(t in 1:(n-k)){a <- a+(error[t]*error[t+k])}
for(t in 1:n){b <- b+(error[t]^2)}
rho[k] <- a/b
}
return(rho)
}
In R console:
Let you have a Zt series, tetha(0) = 0, phi(1) = 0.6, phi(2) = 0.4, and number of lag = 20AR2(Zt,0,0.6,0.4,20)
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