Python：實施均值95％置信區間？

Question

如何使用pandas / python實現此解決方案 ？ 這個問題涉及使用此stats.stackexchange解決方案在均值周圍尋找95％CI的實現。

import pandas as pd
from IPython.display import display
import scipy
import scipy.stats as st 
import scikits.bootstrap as bootstraps

data = pd.DataFrame({
     "exp1":[34, 41, 39] 
    ,"exp2":[45, 51, 52]
    ,"exp3":[29, 31, 35]
}).T

data.loc[:,"row_mean"] = data.mean(axis=1)
data.loc[:,"row_std"] = data.std(axis=1)
display(data)

 <table border="1" class="dataframe"> <thead> <tr style="text-align: right;"> <th></th> <th>0</th> <th>1</th> <th>2</th> <th>row_mean</th> <th>row_std</th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <th>exp1</th> <td>34</td> <td>41</td> <td>39</td> <td>38.000000</td> <td>2.943920</td> </tr> <tr> <th>exp2</th> <td>45</td> <td>51</td> <td>52</td> <td>49.333333</td> <td>3.091206</td> </tr> <tr> <th>exp3</th> <td>29</td> <td>31</td> <td>35</td> <td>31.666667</td> <td>2.494438</td> </tr> </tbody> </table> 

mean_of_means = data.row_mean.mean()
std_of_means = data.row_mean.std()
confidence = 0.95
print("mean(means): {}\nstd(means):{}".format(mean_of_means,std_of_means))

• 平均值（均值）：39.66666666666667
• 標准差（均值）：8.950481054731702

第1次錯誤嘗試（zscore）：

zscore = st.norm.ppf(1-(1-confidence)/2)
lower_bound = mean_of_means - (zscore*std_of_means)
upper_bound = mean_of_means + (zscore*std_of_means)
print("95% CI = [{},{}]".format(lower_bound,upper_bound))

• 95％CI = [22.1,57.2]（ 錯誤的解決方案）

第二次錯誤嘗試（分數）：

tscore = st.t.ppf(1-0.05, data.shape[0])
lower_bound = mean_of_means - (tscore*std_of_means)
upper_bound = mean_of_means + (tscore*std_of_means)
print("95% CI = [{},{}]".format(lower_bound,upper_bound))

• 95％CI = [18.60,60.73]（ 錯誤的解決方案）

第三次不正確的嘗試（boostrap）：

CIs = bootstraps.ci(data=data.row_mean, statfunction=scipy.mean,alpha=0.05)

• 95％CI = [31.67，49.33]（ 錯誤的解決方案）

如何使用pandas / python實現此解決方案以在下面獲取正確的解決方案？

• 95％CI = [17.4至61.9]（ 正確的解決方案）

Answer 1

謝謝喬恩·貝茨。

import pandas as pd
import scipy
import scipy.stats as st 

data = pd.DataFrame({
     "exp1":[34, 41, 39] 
    ,"exp2":[45, 51, 52]
    ,"exp3":[29, 31, 35]
}).T

data.loc[:,"row_mean"] = data.mean(axis=1)
data.loc[:,"row_std"] = data.std(axis=1)

tscore = st.t.ppf(1-0.025, data.shape[0]-1)

print("mean(means): {}\nstd(means): {}\ntscore: {}".format(mean_of_means,std_of_means,tscore))

lower_bound = mean_of_means - (tscore*std_of_means/(data.shape[0]**0.5))
upper_bound = mean_of_means + (tscore*std_of_means/(data.shape[0]**0.5))

print("95% CI = [{},{}]".format(lower_bound,upper_bound))

平均值（均值）：39.66666666666667
標准差（均值）：8.950481054731702
tscore：4.302652729911275
95％CI = [17.432439139464606,61.90089419386874]