使用新数据重用 HoltWinters model

Question

I'm trying to reuse a HoltWinters model previously generated in R. I have found a related entry here , but it does not seem to work with HoltWinters. Basically I have tried something like this:

myModel<-HoltWinters(ts(myData),gamma=FALSE)
predict(myModel,n.ahead=10)

#time to change the data
predict(myModel,n.ahead=10,newdata=myNewData)

When I try to predict using the new data I get the same prediction.

I would appreciate any suggestion.

Answer 1

You can use update :

mdl <- HoltWinters(EuStockMarkets[,"FTSE"],gamma=FALSE)

predict(mdl,n.ahead=10)
Time Series:
Start = c(1998, 170) 
End = c(1998, 179) 
Frequency = 260 
           fit
 [1,] 5451.093
 [2,] 5447.186
 [3,] 5443.279
 [4,] 5439.373
 [5,] 5435.466
 [6,] 5431.559
 [7,] 5427.652
 [8,] 5423.745
 [9,] 5419.838
[10,] 5415.932

predict(update(mdl,x=EuStockMarkets[,"CAC"]),n.ahead=10)]
Time Series:
Start = c(1998, 170) 
End = c(1998, 179) 
Frequency = 260 
           fit
 [1,] 3995.127
 [2,] 3995.253
 [3,] 3995.380
 [4,] 3995.506
 [5,] 3995.633
 [6,] 3995.759
 [7,] 3995.886
 [8,] 3996.013
 [9,] 3996.139
[10,] 3996.266

Answer 2

predict.HoltWinters doesn't have a newdata argument, which is why the data doesn't get replaced. This is because the prediction doesn't require any data – it is described entirely by the coefficients argument of the model.

m <- HoltWinters(co2)
m$coefficients         #These values describe the model completely; 
                       #adding new data makes no difference