At this Android Developers link it is stated that
The value of ANDROID_ID does not change even if a system update causes the package signing key to change .
Can a system update change an app's package signing key? And if so, how?
The only way a system update could change a package's signing key is if that package is in the system image. A normal app (that is, one downloaded from the app store that is not part of the system image) would not have its signing key changed.
That is to say: a system update, without a factory reset or a reinstall of the app, will not change the app's ANDROID_ID, and it won't change the signing key either, except possibly if that app is included with the system image.
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